Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
The jobs report: how many jobs were added last month outside farming, together with the unemployment rate and wages. It comes out on the first Friday of the month and is usually the biggest mover.
Market
Period
Releases
Too few releases with this filter to draw conclusions.
Typical move in the next 5 min
+0.22%
How much more than a normal day
5.4×
times the move at that same time on a day without news
The first candle sets the direction
76%
if the first 1-min candle is up, an hour later price is still higher (and if it is down, lower)
Price rises in the next 5 min
56%
of the time; otherwise it falls
How it moves after the release
Path from 15 minutes before to 60 after. If the first 1-minute candle fell, the path is flipped, so you can see whether that candle's direction holds. Line: median. Bands: middle half and middle 80% of cases.
By horizon
| Horizon | Typical move | At today's price | How far it usually goes | Follows the 1st candle |
|---|
Spread of 5-min moves
How many releases ended in each band of movement.
The strongest reactions
5 min
Data versus reaction
Horizontal: how much the figure changed from the previous one. Vertical: move after 5 min.
By figure
Higher than previous
Lower than previous
Every release
Tap a row to see that day minute by minute in all three markets.
Descriptive statistics of the past. Not investment advice and not a prediction.